The Tactical Allocation Letter

The Tactical Allocation Letter

🧭 Weekly Update

🧭 The Tactical Allocation Weekly Update (February 28 2026)

2020: +128,25%, 2021: +76,1%, 2022: +13,25%, 2023: +97,25%, 2024: +66.05%, 2025: +26,3%

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Tactical Allocation Desk
Feb 28, 2026
∙ Paid

We trade only three assets: UPRO (3x S&P 500), Bitcoin (via IBIT), and Gold, with an active money market buffer when conditions are mixed. Each sleeve is managed mechanically, end of day only.

This week was the definition of choppy. You had enough movement to trigger FOMO and fear, but not enough persistence to reward people who chased the first move. That is the regime where most discretionary traders leak performance: they trade activity instead of structure.

UPRO (3x S&P 500): Equities felt stop start all week. Rallies showed up, then fizzled. Dips looked scary, then bounced. If you have ever wondered why leverage can feel “hard” even when the index is not doing much, this is the answer. The path matters more than the destination.

Bitcoin: BTC stayed high beta. The market delivered fast moves and fast reversals, with very little forgiveness for late entries. When Bitcoin behaves like this, clean opportunities usually start only after the tape calms down and stops snapping back on every impulse.

Gold: Gold was quieter and more orderly than the risk engines, but still selective. Gold tends to be useful when it becomes directional, not when it drifts. The key is whether it can maintain persistence, not whether it has one strong day.

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